Friday's US Open round of 32 pits Aryna Sabalenka against Kamilla Rakhimova on hard. Aryna Sabalenka is 7-3 across recent matches. Kamilla Rakhimova comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 67% versus 62.4% on first-serve points in Sabalenka's favor. If Sabalenka plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.