Aryna Sabalenka and Renata Zarazua meet in the round of 64 at Beijing on Friday. Aryna Sabalenka comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Renata Zarazua is 2-8 across recent matches.

Hold strength tells the story — 67% versus 57.5% on first-serve points in Sabalenka's favor. Zarazua needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.