Sara Bejlek won 7-6 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 80% on Aryna Sabalenka; Sara Bejlek won 7-6 6-4.
Thursday's Cincinnati round of 16 pits Aryna Sabalenka against Sara Bejlek on hard. Aryna Sabalenka has won 7 of the last 10. Sara Bejlek brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.
Sabalenka's 67% behind the first serve (against 57.7% for Bejlek) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Anything other than a Sabalenka win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Aryna Sabalenka | Sara Bejlek |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.6% | 70.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 67% | 57.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.9% | 47.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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