Thursday's Toronto round of 32 pits Aryna Sabalenka against Shuai Zhang on hard. Aryna Sabalenka comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Shuai Zhang is 4-6 across recent matches.

Sabalenka's 67.2% behind the first serve (against 59.7% for Zhang) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Zhang needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.