Sunday's Cincinnati round of 64 pits Aryna Sabalenka against Talia Gibson on hard. Aryna Sabalenka comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Talia Gibson has won 4 of the last 10.

Hold strength tells the story — 67% versus 63.9% on first-serve points in Sabalenka's favor. Gibson needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.