Thursday's Cincinnati first round pits Ashlyn Krueger against Lois Boisson on hard. Ashlyn Krueger has won 8 of the last 10. Lois Boisson is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (2 of the last 10).
Ashlyn Krueger is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Krueger around 63%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Krueger.