A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Ashlyn Krueger goes up against Sofia Kenin in the Beijing first round. Ashlyn Krueger limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10. Sofia Kenin limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Ashlyn Krueger simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Krueger is exactly that — a lean.