● Live
The live win probability is Pro.
Our number for this match, updated the moment each set is complete, with the pre-match number beside it so you can see how far it has moved.
August Holmgren and Henrique Rocha meet in the quarterfinal at Porto on Friday. Henrique Rocha is 5-5 across recent matches. August Holmgren has won 5 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Holmgren comes in off a compressed schedule; Rocha comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Rocha — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | August Holmgren | Henrique Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.1% | 59% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.6% | 67% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.3% | 50.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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