Luca Nardi won 4-6 6-4 6-4
Nailed it. We had Luca Nardi at 52% before the match, and Luca Nardi won 4-6 6-4 6-4.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when August Holmgren goes up against Luca Nardi in the Olbia round of 32. Luca Nardi limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. August Holmgren has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
Luca Nardi is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Nardi around 52%. Little separates them; Nardi gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | August Holmgren | Luca Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.9% | 62.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 72.7% | 67.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.2% | 47.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.