A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Aziz Dougaz goes up against Damir Dzumhur in the Olbia round of 32. Damir Dzumhur comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Aziz Dougaz has won 6 of the last 10.

Damir Dzumhur simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Dzumhur fractionally more likely to land the big points.