A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Barbora Palicova goes up against Fiona Ferro in the Montreux round of 16. Fiona Ferro is 6-4 across recent matches. Barbora Palicova has won 3 of the last 10.

Fiona Ferro is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Ferro around 65%. Ferro should have enough here, though Palicova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.