Monday's Lisbon (Portugal) round of 32 pits Barbora Palicova against Jazmin Ortenzi on clay. Jazmin Ortenzi is 5-5 across recent matches. Barbora Palicova is 5-5 across recent matches.

Jazmin Ortenzi simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ortenzi is exactly that — a lean.