Tuesday's Curitiba round of 32 pits Bautista Torres Juan against M. Tobon on clay. Bautista Torres Juan limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 5 wins in 10. M. Tobon comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

Bautista Torres Juan is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Juan around 57%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Juan fractionally more likely to land the big points.