Tuesday's Toronto quarterfinal pits Belinda Bencic against Coco Gauff on hard. Coco Gauff brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Belinda Bencic is 8-2 across recent matches.

Coco Gauff leads the head-to-head 5-2, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On hard specifically it reads 4-2 Gauff — worth more than the overall number this week.

Coco Gauff is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Gauff around 52%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gauff is exactly that — a lean.