Tuesday's Toronto quarterfinal pits Belinda Bencic against Coco Gauff on hard. Coco Gauff brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Belinda Bencic is 8-2 across recent matches.
Coco Gauff leads the head-to-head 5-2, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On hard specifically it reads 4-2 Gauff — worth more than the overall number this week.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gauff is exactly that — a lean.