Sunday's French Open round of 16 pits Belinda Bencic against Elina Svitolina on clay. Elina Svitolina is rolling — 4 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Belinda Bencic brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.
Elina Svitolina has had the better of this rivalry, winning 5 of 7 against Belinda Bencic. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.
Elina Svitolina simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Svitolina fractionally more likely to land the big points.