Tuesday's Ningbo round of 32 pits Belinda Bencic against Jelena Ostapenko on hard. Belinda Bencic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Jelena Ostapenko is 6-4 across recent matches.

Belinda Bencic is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Bencic around 60%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bencic is exactly that — a lean.