Belinda Bencic and Katarzyna Kawa meet in the round of 16 at Ningbo on Thursday. Belinda Bencic has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Katarzyna Kawa comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Bencic has been winning 66.3% of first-serve points to Kawa's 57.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Kawa needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Belinda Bencic | Katarzyna Kawa |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.7% | 61.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 66.3% | 57.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 46.1% | 41.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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