Wuhan · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 13, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · Cancelled
Belinda Bencic vs Shuai Zhang — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · October 13, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Belinda Bencic goes up against Shuai Zhang in the Wuhan round of 64. Belinda Bencic is 7-3 across recent matches. Shuai Zhang comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Bencic has been winning 66.3% of first-serve points to Zhang's 59.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Bencic should have enough here, though Zhang has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-207(67.5% Bencic)
Market-367(78.6% Bencic)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Belinda Bencic
1949
Shuai Zhang
1675
Overall rating
Belinda Bencic
1990
Shuai Zhang
1692
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Belinda Bencic
Shuai Zhang
1st serve in
62.7%
67.6%
1st serve points won
66.3%
59.7%
2nd serve points won
46.1%
44.1%
Form
Belinda Bencic
7–3
Shuai Zhang
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Belinda Bencic vs Shuai Zhang?
Maiden gives Belinda Bencic a 67% chance to beat Shuai Zhang in the Wuhan round of 64 on October 13, 2026.
How confident is the Belinda Bencic pick?
67% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 67%, picks in that range have won 73% of the time (120 so far). See the track record page for the full table.