French Open · R128 · Clay · best of 5 · May 25, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC
Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · May 25, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Ben Shelton won 6-3 6-3 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 86% on Ben Shelton, who won 6-3 6-3 6-4.
Monday's French Open first round pits Ben Shelton against Daniel Merida Aguilar on clay. Ben Shelton has won 7 of the last 10. Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 6 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Ben Shelton, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Daniel Merida Aguilar. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Shelton — worth more than the overall number this week.
Shelton's 74.1% behind the first serve (against 63.8% for Aguilar) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. If Shelton plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Ben Shelton
1816
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1778
Overall rating
Ben Shelton
2042
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1940
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Ben Shelton
Daniel Merida Aguilar
1st serve in
66.6%
70.7%
1st serve points won
74.1%
63.8%
2nd serve points won
53.7%
44.7%
Form
Ben Shelton
7–3
Daniel Merida Aguilar
6–4
Head to head
Ben Shelton leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Ben Shelton.
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida Aguilar at French Open?
Ben Shelton won 6-3 6-3 6-4.
Was the Ben Shelton vs Daniel Merida Aguilar prediction correct?
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 86% on Ben Shelton, who won 6-3 6-3 6-4.
What is the head-to-head record between Ben Shelton and Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Ben Shelton leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Ben Shelton.