Saturday's US Open round of 32 pits Ben Shelton against Denis Shapovalov on hard. Ben Shelton is 8-2 across recent matches. Denis Shapovalov has won 7 of the last 10.
Ben Shelton simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Shelton — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Ben Shelton | Denis Shapovalov |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 66.9% | 58.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.5% | 74.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.6% | 50% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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