Ben Shelton won 4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5
We got this one right. Ben Shelton was our 60% pick, and won 4-6 6-3 6-3 7-5.
Friday's US Open semifinal pits Ben Shelton against Frances Tiafoe on hard. Ben Shelton is rolling — 5 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Frances Tiafoe has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. The edge belongs to Shelton — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Ben Shelton | Frances Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.1% | 59.4% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.2% | 72.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.7% | 51.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.