Ben Shelton and Tallon Griekspoor meet in the first round at US Open on Monday. Ben Shelton is 8-2 across recent matches. Tallon Griekspoor has won 4 of the last 10.

Ben Shelton is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Shelton around 61%. Shelton should have enough here, though Griekspoor has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.