US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 5 · Aug 31, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Ben Shelton vs. Tallon Griekspoor — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · August 31, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Ben Shelton and Tallon Griekspoor meet in the first round at US Open on Monday. Ben Shelton is 8-2 across recent matches. Tallon Griekspoor has won 4 of the last 10.
Ben Shelton is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Shelton around 61%. Shelton should have enough here, though Griekspoor has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-160(61.5% Shelton)
Market-531(84.2% Shelton)
Sources: . These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Ben Shelton
2001
Tallon Griekspoor
1844
Overall rating
Ben Shelton
2022
Tallon Griekspoor
1819
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Ben Shelton
Tallon Griekspoor
1st serve in
66.8%
63.9%
1st serve points won
74.5%
73.2%
2nd serve points won
54.7%
49.9%
Form
Ben Shelton
8–2
Tallon Griekspoor
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Maiden gives Ben Shelton a 61% chance to beat Tallon Griekspoor in the US Open first round on August 31, 2026.
How confident is the Ben Shelton pick?
61% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 61%, picks in that range have won 58% of the time (151 so far). See the track record page for the full table.