Thursday's Washington round of 16 pits Ben Shelton against Ugo Humbert on hard. Ben Shelton limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10. Ugo Humbert has won 7 of the last 10.
Ben Shelton simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Shelton gets the nod on the finest of margins.