Thursday's Washington round of 16 pits Ben Shelton against Ugo Humbert on hard. Ben Shelton limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10. Ugo Humbert has won 7 of the last 10.
Ben Shelton simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Shelton gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Ben Shelton | Ugo Humbert |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 66.8% | 60.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.5% | 73.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.7% | 51.7% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.