Tuesday's Lyon (France) round of 32 pits Benjamin Bonzi against Cameron Norrie on clay. Cameron Norrie has dropped 4 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Benjamin Bonzi is 6-4 across recent matches.

Cameron Norrie is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Norrie around 61%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Norrie.