Wednesday's Winston-Salem round of 16 pits Benjamin Bonzi against Rinky Hijikata on hard. Benjamin Bonzi has won 6 of the last 10. Rinky Hijikata is 5-5 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Bonzi comes in off a compressed schedule; Hijikata comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bonzi fractionally more likely to land the big points.