Benjamin Hassan and Sumit Nagal meet in the round of 16 at Lisbon on Thursday. Sumit Nagal comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Benjamin Hassan has won 6 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Nagal is exactly that — a lean.