A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Bernard Tomic goes up against Dane Sweeny in the Jinan round of 32. Bernard Tomic has won 6 of the last 10. Dane Sweeny has won 4 of the last 10.

Tomic's 71.3% behind the first serve (against 66% for Sweeny) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tomic is exactly that — a lean.