Ilya Ivashka won 6-4 4-6 6-2
A miss: Bernard Tomic at 55% lost to Ilya Ivashka (6-4 4-6 6-2).
Thursday's Shanghai round of 16 pits Bernard Tomic against Ilya Ivashka on hard. Bernard Tomic comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Ilya Ivashka has won 6 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Tomic comes in off a compressed schedule; Ivashka arrives with very little recovery time. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tomic fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Bernard Tomic | Ilya Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.5% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.3% | 69.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.5% | 48.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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