Matteo Arnaldi won 6-3 6-1
Nailed it. We had Matteo Arnaldi at 55% before the match, and Matteo Arnaldi won 6-3 6-1.
Thursday's Shanghai first round pits Bernard Tomic against Matteo Arnaldi on hard. Matteo Arnaldi is 3-7 across recent matches. Bernard Tomic has won 7 of the last 10.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Arnaldi gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Bernard Tomic | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.5% | 58.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.3% | 70.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.5% | 50% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.