Pavel Kotov won 7-6 7-6
We got this one right. Pavel Kotov was our 61% pick, and won 7-6 7-6.
Saturday's Guangzhou 2 semifinal pits Bernard Tomic against Pavel Kotov on hard. Pavel Kotov brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Bernard Tomic brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Tomic comes in off a compressed schedule; Kotov comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Kotov.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Bernard Tomic | Pavel Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.5% | 64.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.3% | 70.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.5% | 49.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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