Bernard Tomic and Steve Johnson meet in the semifinal at Lincoln on Saturday. Steve Johnson comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Bernard Tomic is 6-4 across recent matches.

Steve Johnson leads the head-to-head 3-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On hard specifically it reads 2-0 Johnson — worth more than the overall number this week.

Johnson's 74.6% behind the first serve (against 71.1% for Tomic) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Tomic comes in off a compressed schedule; Johnson comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Johnson fractionally more likely to land the big points.