Bernard Tomic won 5-7 6-2 7-6(5)
We got this one right. Bernard Tomic was our 64% pick, and won 5-7 6-2 7-6(5).
Friday's Jingshan round of 16 pits Bernard Tomic against Yuta Shimizu on hard. Bernard Tomic has won 6 of the last 10. Yuta Shimizu comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Tomic has been winning 71.3% of first-serve points to Shimizu's 67.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Tomic — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Bernard Tomic | Yuta Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.5% | 61.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.3% | 67.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.5% | 48.8% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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