Bianca Andreescu and Lucrezia Stefanini meet in the quarterfinal at Rovereto on Friday. Bianca Andreescu has won 5 of the last 10. Lucrezia Stefanini is 7-3 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Andreescu has been winning 63.5% of first-serve points to Stefanini's 55.3%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Andreescu comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Andreescu — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-179(64.1% Andreescu)
Market-140(58.3% Andreescu)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Bianca Andreescu
1758
Lucrezia Stefanini
1578
Overall rating
Bianca Andreescu
1718
Lucrezia Stefanini
1640
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Bianca Andreescu
Lucrezia Stefanini
1st serve in
63.5%
74.6%
1st serve points won
63.5%
55.3%
2nd serve points won
48.3%
44%
Form
Bianca Andreescu
5–5
Lucrezia Stefanini
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Maiden gives Bianca Andreescu a 64% chance to beat Lucrezia Stefanini in the Rovereto quarterfinal on October 16, 2026.
How confident is the Bianca Andreescu pick?
64% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 64%, picks in that range have won 65% of the time (480 so far). See the track record page for the full table.