Beijing · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 1, 2026, 4:45 AM UTC
Botic Van De Zandschulp vs. Francisco Cerundolo — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 1, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✓ Pick right
Francisco Cerundolo won 5-7 6-4 6-3
Nailed it. We had Francisco Cerundolo at 53% before the match, and Francisco Cerundolo won 5-7 6-4 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Botic Van De Zandschulp goes up against Francisco Cerundolo in the Beijing round of 32. Francisco Cerundolo has won 5 of the last 10. Botic Van De Zandschulp comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Francisco Cerundolo has had the better of this rivalry, winning 4 of 4 against Botic Van De Zandschulp. On hard specifically it reads 2-0 Cerundolo — worth more than the overall number this week.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Cerundolo is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Botic Van De Zandschulp
1857
Francisco Cerundolo
1885
Overall rating
Botic Van De Zandschulp
1880
Francisco Cerundolo
1945
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Francisco Cerundolo
1st serve in
62.1%
62.7%
1st serve points won
71.9%
67.5%
2nd serve points won
47.4%
50.2%
Form
Botic Van De Zandschulp
7–3
Francisco Cerundolo
5–5
Head to head
Francisco Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 4-0. On hard: 2-0 Francisco Cerundolo.
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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