Brandon Nakashima won 6-7 7-6 6-1
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 54% on Daniil Medvedev; Brandon Nakashima won 6-7 7-6 6-1.
Brandon Nakashima and Daniil Medvedev meet in the round of 32 at Cincinnati on Tuesday. Daniil Medvedev comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Brandon Nakashima is 8-2 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Medvedev fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Brandon Nakashima | Daniil Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.1% | 62.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.1% | 72.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.2% | 48.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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