Brandon Nakashima won 7-6(4) 7-5
We got this one right. Brandon Nakashima was our 56% pick, and won 7-6(4) 7-5.
Brandon Nakashima and Matteo Berrettini meet in the round of 64 at Shanghai on Friday. Brandon Nakashima has won 6 of the last 10. Matteo Berrettini is 5-5 across recent matches.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Nakashima is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Brandon Nakashima | Matteo Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.7% | 63.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.5% | 76.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.2% | 51.8% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.