Montreal · SF · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 12, 2026, 10:10 PM UTC

Brandon Nakashima vs. Rafael Jodar — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 12, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

Share result

Result

✗ Pick wrong

Brandon Nakashima won 7-6 6-4

We got this one wrong. Our final number was 58% on Rafael Jodar; Brandon Nakashima won 7-6 6-4.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Brandon Nakashima goes up against Rafael Jodar in the Montreal semifinal. Rafael Jodar brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Brandon Nakashima is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Nakashima comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Jodar gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Brandon Nakashima

1953

Rafael Jodar

1985

Overall rating

Brandon Nakashima

1999

Rafael Jodar

2101

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Brandon Nakashima	Rafael Jodar
1st serve in	65.1%	61.9%
1st serve points won	74.1%	69.5%
2nd serve points won	52.2%	51.6%

Form

Brandon Nakashima

8–2

Rafael Jodar

8–2

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

What Pro unlocks

Frequently asked questions

Who won Brandon Nakashima vs Rafael Jodar at Montreal?: Brandon Nakashima won 7-6 6-4.
Was the Brandon Nakashima vs Rafael Jodar prediction correct?: We got this one wrong. Our final number was 58% on Rafael Jodar; Brandon Nakashima won 7-6 6-4.