Brandon Nakashima and Tallon Griekspoor meet in the round of 32 at Vienna on Wednesday. Brandon Nakashima has won 6 of the last 10. Tallon Griekspoor brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Nakashima.