Brandon Nakashima won 7-6 4-6 6-3
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 56% on Taylor Fritz; Brandon Nakashima won 7-6 4-6 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Brandon Nakashima goes up against Taylor Fritz in the Cincinnati quarterfinal. Taylor Fritz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Brandon Nakashima is 8-2 across recent matches.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Fritz is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Brandon Nakashima | Taylor Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.9% | 61.9% |
| 1st serve points won | 74.2% | 74.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.3% | 52.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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