Tuesday's Adana (Turkey) round of 32 pits Cagla Buyukakcay against Carole Monnet on hard. Carole Monnet has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Cagla Buyukakcay has won 3 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Monnet fractionally more likely to land the big points.