Monday's Seville round of 32 pits Calvin Hemery against Gilles Arnaud Bailly on clay. Calvin Hemery has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Gilles Arnaud Bailly has won 3 of the last 10.

The serve is where this match separates: Hemery has been winning 72.9% of first-serve points to Bailly's 65.1%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Hemery.