Daniil Medvedev won 4-6 6-3 7-6(1)
We got this one right. Daniil Medvedev was our 72% pick, and won 4-6 6-3 7-6(1).
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Cameron Norrie goes up against Daniil Medvedev in the Vienna round of 16. Daniil Medvedev has won 3 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Cameron Norrie is 5-5 across recent matches.
Medvedev's 72.8% behind the first serve (against 68.4% for Norrie) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Medvedev comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Medvedev win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Cameron Norrie | Daniil Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.5% | 62.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 68.4% | 72.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50% | 48.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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