Hamburg · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · May 20, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Frances Tiafoe — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 20, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Camilo Ugo Carabelli won 7-6 7-6 · May 20, 2026, 9:32 PM UTC

Graded: incorrect. We had Frances Tiafoe at 70%, but Camilo Ugo Carabelli won 7-6 7-6. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.

Wednesday's Hamburg round of 16 pits Camilo Ugo Carabelli against Frances Tiafoe on clay. Frances Tiafoe comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 6-4 across recent matches.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Carabelli — worth more than the overall number this week.

Hold strength tells the story — 72.1% versus 67% on first-serve points in Tiafoe's favor. Tiafoe should have enough here, though Carabelli has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

1697

Frances Tiafoe

1761

Overall rating

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

1715

Frances Tiafoe

1913

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Frances Tiafoe
1st serve in	60.8%	59.9%
1st serve points won	67%	72.1%
2nd serve points won	47.1%	51.6%

Form

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

6–4

Frances Tiafoe

7–3

Head to head

Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Camilo Ugo Carabelli.

Full Carabelli vs Tiafoe history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe at Hamburg?: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won 7-6 7-6.
Was the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe prediction correct?: Graded: incorrect. We had Frances Tiafoe at 70%, but Camilo Ugo Carabelli won 7-6 7-6. This one goes in the ledger — every miss stays on the record.
What is the head-to-head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Frances Tiafoe?: Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Camilo Ugo Carabelli.