Jan Lennard Struff won 6-4 6-3 6-3
We got this one right. Jan Lennard Struff was our 51% pick, and won 6-4 6-3 6-3.
Tuesday's US Open first round pits Camilo Ugo Carabelli against Jan Lennard Struff on hard. Jan Lennard Struff is 5-5 across recent matches. Camilo Ugo Carabelli comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Struff has been winning 76.5% of first-serve points to Carabelli's 66%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Struff is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Jan Lennard Struff |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.7% | 55.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 66% | 76.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.3% | 47.7% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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