Costa do Sauipe · R32 · Clay · best of 3 · Nov 3, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · November 3, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Tuesday's Costa do Sauipe round of 32 pits Camilo Ugo Carabelli against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 3 of the last 10. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Carabelli around 64%. Carabelli should have enough here, though Izquierdo has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-180(64.3% Carabelli)
Market-164(62.2% Carabelli)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1819
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
1620
Overall rating
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1770
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
1639
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
1st serve in
62.1%
65.3%
1st serve points won
66.1%
63.7%
2nd serve points won
48.4%
50.6%
Form
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
3–7
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?
Maiden gives Camilo Ugo Carabelli a 64% chance to beat Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32 on November 3, 2026.
How confident is the Camilo Ugo Carabelli pick?
64% is a “Confident” tier pick. When we make a pick around 64%, picks in that range have won 65% of the time (556 so far). See the track record page for the full table.