Tuesday's Costa do Sauipe round of 32 pits Camilo Ugo Carabelli against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo on clay. Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 3 of the last 10. Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Carabelli around 64%. Carabelli should have enough here, though Izquierdo has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.