A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Camilo Ugo Carabelli goes up against Nuno Borges in the Chengdu round of 32. Nuno Borges has won 7 of the last 10. Camilo Ugo Carabelli is 4-6 across recent matches.
Borges's 71.4% behind the first serve (against 66.2% for Carabelli) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Borges.
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Nuno Borges |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.4% | 64.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 66.2% | 71.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.1% | 51.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.