Umag · QF · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 16, 2026, 4:35 PM UTC

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 16, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Roman Andres Burruchaga won 6-2 2-6 6-3

Missed it. We had Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 54%, but Roman Andres Burruchaga won 6-2 2-6 6-3.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Roman Andres Burruchaga meet in the quarterfinal at Umag on Thursday. Camilo Ugo Carabelli comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Roman Andres Burruchaga comes in at 2 wins from the last ten.

Roman Andres Burruchaga has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 3 against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. On clay specifically it reads 2-1 Burruchaga — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Carabelli gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

1810

Roman Andres Burruchaga

1810

Overall rating

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

1794

Roman Andres Burruchaga

1772

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Roman Andres Burruchaga
1st serve in	61.1%	64.1%
1st serve points won	67.8%	65.5%
2nd serve points won	47.6%	47.6%

Form

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

7–3

Roman Andres Burruchaga

2–8

Head to head

Roman Andres Burruchaga leads the head-to-head 2-1. On clay: 2-1 Roman Andres Burruchaga.

Full Carabelli vs Burruchaga history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga at Umag?: Roman Andres Burruchaga won 6-2 2-6 6-3.
Was the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga prediction correct?: Missed it. We had Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 54%, but Roman Andres Burruchaga won 6-2 2-6 6-3.
What is the head-to-head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Roman Andres Burruchaga?: Roman Andres Burruchaga leads the head-to-head 2-1. On clay: 2-1 Roman Andres Burruchaga.