Carlos Alcaraz won 5-7 6-3 6-1
Nailed it. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 83% before the match, and Carlos Alcaraz won 5-7 6-3 6-1.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Carlos Alcaraz goes up against Jaume Munar in the Tokyo semifinal. Carlos Alcaraz brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Jaume Munar comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Munar needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Jaume Munar |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64% | 64.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 68.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.5% | 47.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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