Carlos Alcaraz won 7-6 6-4
Nailed it. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 73% before the match, and Carlos Alcaraz won 7-6 6-4.
The Tokyo title is on the line on Tuesday, when Carlos Alcaraz meets Jiri Lehecka. Carlos Alcaraz has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Jiri Lehecka brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Alcaraz comes in off a compressed schedule; Lehecka comes in off a compressed schedule. Lehecka needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Jiri Lehecka |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64% | 61.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 73.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.5% | 51.6% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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