Saturday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Carlos Alcaraz against Juan Manuel Cerundolo on hard. Carlos Alcaraz is rolling — 5 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Juan Manuel Cerundolo comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Carlos Alcaraz is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Alcaraz around 83%. If Alcaraz plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Juan Manuel Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64% | 59.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 67.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.5% | 50.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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